Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.197790 0.224958 0.254097 0.287628 0.325099 0.365635 0.412757
2026-01-11 0.160991 0.197184 0.238580 0.289262 0.349460 0.418487 0.503434
2026-01-18 0.137019 0.178934 0.229598 0.294976 0.376699 0.475039 0.601845
2026-01-25 0.119725 0.165566 0.223758 0.302403 0.405173 0.534074 0.707035
2026-02-01 0.102951 0.150151 0.212842 0.301224 0.421455 0.577980 0.795584
2026-02-08 0.089559 0.137227 0.203237 0.299965 0.436433 0.620143 0.883747
2026-02-15 0.078572 0.126094 0.194514 0.298421 0.450004 0.660379 0.971015
2026-02-22 0.071701 0.120024 0.192093 0.305120 0.475009 0.717259 1.084113
2026-03-01 0.064133 0.111875 0.185565 0.304784 0.489196 0.759034 1.177589
2026-03-08 0.057753 0.104793 0.179809 0.304788 0.503388 0.801072 1.273218
2026-03-15 0.052341 0.098628 0.174779 0.305235 0.517866 0.843869 1.371792
2026-03-22 0.048457 0.094597 0.172743 0.310117 0.539326 0.898105 1.490241
2026-03-29 0.045283 0.091591 0.172328 0.317943 0.566582 0.963780 1.631620
2026-04-05 0.041542 0.087106 0.168910 0.320303 0.584852 1.016126 1.754746
2026-04-12 0.038826 0.084230 0.168026 0.326891 0.610534 1.081704 1.902495
2026-04-19 0.036610 0.082057 0.168173 0.335223 0.639613 1.154273 2.065252
2026-04-26 0.033391 0.077477 0.163365 0.334031 0.651688 1.198755 2.183242
2026-05-03 0.030501 0.073219 0.158740 0.332706 0.663247 1.242704 2.302210
2026-05-10 0.027876 0.069201 0.154177 0.331042 0.673900 1.285391 2.420789
2026-05-17 0.026422 0.067590 0.154280 0.338416 0.701734 1.359592 2.597640
2026-05-24 0.024357 0.064334 0.150676 0.338056 0.714735 1.407707 2.730356
2026-05-31 0.022517 0.061376 0.147409 0.338067 0.728326 1.457390 2.867951
2026-06-07 0.020884 0.058710 0.144508 0.338560 0.742786 1.509218 3.011598